Closing lesson for 2012: Human Judgement is Often Synonymous with Bias

If there is one principle we can learn before the year ends and practice it relentlessly in 2013 and beyond, this is it.

This comes to us from this year’s Turing Award winner Dr. Judea Pearl

“Human judgement is often synonymous with bias”

As you may have noticed from hundreds of blog posts, articles and books published every year we  are bombarded with what are essentially human judgements packaged as sage advice. Be it lessons we are asked to learn from  Raj  or Steve Jobs we are presented with biased opinions of authors who cherry pick evidence to fit their preconceived notion and fail to seek contradicting evidence.

The result is all those simplistic proclamations that goad us to

Let us learn to cast aside such proclamations for they are merely biased opinions.

Note: Notice how measured Pearl is in even in this simple statement, he qualified with “often”. I am making a stronger statement here than Pearl did because of my bias and the fact that we don’t stand to lose much if we ignored most advices from gurus vs. spending time adopting them.

One thought on “Closing lesson for 2012: Human Judgement is Often Synonymous with Bias

  1. There is some evidence this is not true and that humans, just a bigger primate brain, like all mife forms are actually very good Bayesian calculators.

    The “irrationality” theme is a ideological marketing ploy by economists to demean and tag real world behavior that never fit their models

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